SITUATION OVERVIEW:
Tropical Storm Jerry remains a sheared but solid system with an estimated central pressure near 999 mb, moving west-northwest at about 21 mph. This general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A northwestward motion at a slower forward speed should begin Thursday night, followed by a northward motion Friday night into Saturday. On its forecast track, the center of TS Jerry is expected to pass near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and into Thursday night. While vertical wind shear is expected to persist, warm waters and a moist environment could still allow gradual strengthening, and Jerry could approach hurricane intensity by Friday if shear briefly relaxes.
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