Information Notes

SITUATION REPORT

According to the Hazard Management Cayman Islands (HMCI), as of 10:00AM, Hurricane Ian was located at 19.1N and 82.7W of about 87miles W of Grand Cayman with maximum sustained winds of 80mph. Hurricane Ian is moving towards the NW at 13mph with minimum central pressure of 980mb/28.94 inches.

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SITUATION OVERVIEW

The depression is expected to produce heavy rainfall, flash flooding and possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain in Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao. Heavy rains are also likely to spread into Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba in the coming days.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Jamaica, with tropical storm conditions possible on the island by Sunday. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Cayman Islands, with hurricane conditions possible for early Monday and tropical storm conditions possible by late Sunday.

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SITUATION OVERVIEW

According to the National Hurricane Centre, at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 80.3 West. TS Ian is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected tonight, followed by a north-northwestward motion on Monday and a northward motion on Tuesday with a slightly slower forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of TS Ian is expected to pass near or west of the Cayman Islands on Monday, and near or over western Cuba Monday night and early Tuesday.

TS Ian will then emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast tonight, followed by more rapid strengthening on Monday and Tuesday. Ian is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday and a major hurricane on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

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National Hurricane Center Updates

At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 61.5 West. Fiona is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through early Monday.
A turn toward the northwest is forecast later on Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Fiona is expected to move near or just south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Saturday into Sunday, and approach the southern or eastern coast of the Dominican Republic Sunday afternoon. Fiona is forecast to move across the Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday.

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SITUATION OVERVIEW

• Tropical Storm Ian is strengthening while moving westward over the central Caribbean. Hurricane conditions are expected over the Cayman Islands by early Monday.
• TS Ian will move south of Jamaica but is expected to impact western Jamaica with tropical storm force winds with a strong possibility of embedded hurricane force winds, high storm surge and high surf.
• The Cayman Islands will be impacted with heavy rainfall, strong hurricane force winds and high storm surge as TS Ian is expected to mature rapidly into a Category Two (2) hurricane as it approaches and moves over the island.

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National Hurricane Center Updates

• According to the National Hurricane Centre, Tropical Storm (TS) conditions are possible in portions of the northern Leeward Islands by Friday night.
• However, heavy rain from TS Fiona will reach the northern Leeward Islands on Friday afternoon and this may produce flash and urban flooding along with isolated mudslides in areas of higher terrain.
• TS Fiona is expected to move near the Virgin Islands on the weekend and early next week and Tropical Storm Watches will likely be issued for some of these areas today.

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